Silver Futures Enter a High-Risk Inflection Point as Momentum Stalls Near 60

Silver futures continue to trade in a parabolic yet technically fragile environment as the market reaches a critical inflection zone between 58.90 and 60.50, where both the Daily and Weekly VC PMI supply levels converge. The test of Weekly Sell 1 at 59.59 and the simultaneous penetration of the Daily Sell 1 (59.60) and Daily Sell 2 (60.51) levels confirm that the market has reached an extreme in price relative to the mean. This alignment typically produces a 95% probability of mean reversion back toward the Daily VC PMI at 58.42, which now becomes the central pivot and equilibrium magnet.

The accelerating momentum into the highs was supported by a surge in volume as algos liquidated into the top of the distribution. However, the initial reaction down suggests that buyers are increasingly unwilling to chase above 60. The MACD continues to show a short-term bullish crossover but remains vulnerable to reversal if price closes below 58.42. The volatility expansion of the past 48 hours has now reached a level where cyclical forces begin to dominate.

30-Day Cycle

The 30-day cycle peaked precisely into this week’s high, aligning with the VC PMI Sell 1/Sell 2 zone. Historically, the 30-day cycle produces sharp reversion moves following a momentum exhaustion. This supports the probability of a pullback into the 57.51 to 56.32 buy zone over the next 3–5 days.

60-Day Cycle

The 60-day cycle remains structurally bullish but is entering its deceleration phase. The last 60-day cycle low occurred near the 54–55 region, which corresponds to VC PMI Buy 2 levels from prior reports. The current cycle window suggests consolidation to re-energize the trend before another breakout attempt later in December.

90-Day Cycle

The 90-day macro cycle shows the strongest influence currently. It projected a top into early December, coinciding exactly with the hit of 60.51. This cycle often precedes broader corrections or multi-week consolidations. A retracement into 56–57.50 aligns perfectly with the 90-day mean-reversion arc.

Market Outlook

If price closes below the Daily VC PMI (58.42), the path toward 57.51 becomes highly probable. Aggressive traders can use the reversion zones (57.51 / 56.32) as potential re-entry points for the continuation of the longer-term bullish trend.

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Disclosure:

Trading futures, options, and derivatives involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All analyses presented here—including VC PMI levels, cycle projections, and price forecasts—are for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice or recommendations to buy or sell any security. Market conditions can change rapidly, and actual results may vary significantly from projections. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions, risk management, and financial outcomes. Always consult with a registered financial professional before making any trading decisions.