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Michael Kramer

Mott Capital Management
  • Analysis & Comment

Michael Kramer's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Michael Kramer's articles, including current analysis & comment - Page 6

3 Takeaways: Historical trends show low realized volatility levels are often followed by sharp surges. Monitor funding markets closely, as SOFR trading above the Fed Funds rate signals persistent...
Monitor SOFR closely today, as elevated repo rates suggest it may move above the Fed’s upper target range. Prepare for potential equity reversal if the end-of-day move was due to JPM collar...
It was a relatively quiet day of trading on Monday. The early morning strength faded by midday, leaving the S&P 500 up just 26 bps. Today will be more important, with the JOLTS report in the...
An interesting development occurred on Friday that bears are watching this week: the NYSE McClellan Summation Index fell below 500. From what I can tell, this is the first time the index has dropped...
The US dollar continued to rise on Thursday, with the index up about 60 bps to 98.45, extending Wednesday’s gains. It also pushed above the relative strength index resistance around 51,...
The US dollar was stronger on Wednesday, breaking through a trend line and now appearing to form a potential double bottom, with a clear bullish divergence emerging alongside the RSI. To confirm the...
The Market’s Desperate Circus Act Continues
By Michael Kramer - Sep 24, 2025
Yesterday it was the S&P 500’s turn to fall, dropping 55 bps, while the RSP Equal Weight ETF managed to rise 12 bps. Round and round the market goes—where it stops, nobody...
S&P 500: The Music May Be About to Stop
By Michael Kramer - Sep 23, 2025
The S&P 500 finished higher by around 45 bps, while the equal-weight RSP ended lower on the day by nearly 40 bps. It wasn’t exactly a great day for most of the market, though you...
Compared to last week, this one should be much slower. There are no central bank meetings and no major economic releases. The only notable event will be Micron’s earnings. Treasury will auction...
Maybe it’s just me, but lately the days have felt painfully long. It could be because the kids are off to school and out of the house by 8 a.m., which makes the days feel longer since I’m...