🎈 Up Big Today: Find today's biggest gainers with our free screenerTry Stock Screener

Earnings call: E2open maintains guidance despite Q1 deal delays

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11-07-2024, 03:04 pm
© Reuters.
EOPN
-
ETWO
-

E2open Parent Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ETWO), a leading provider of cloud-based supply chain software, has reaffirmed its full-year guidance for fiscal year 2025, despite experiencing some delays in deal closures during the first quarter.

CEO Andrew Appel expressed confidence in the company's ability to achieve material improvements in churn and accelerate bookings as the year progresses. The company also highlighted its commitment to client satisfaction, which is expected to contribute to sustainable growth.

Key Takeaways

  • E2open exceeded internal ARR retention targets for Q1 FY '25 and aims for further churn reductions.
  • Subscription revenue results were solid, though deal delays limited upside potential.
  • The company is on track to meet full-year targets, with nearly half of delayed Q1 deals closed in Q2.
  • Full-year guidance reaffirmed, with expectations of strong adjusted EBITDA margins.
  • E2open is progressing with a strategic review announced in March.

Company Outlook

  • Full-year subscription revenue projected to be $532 million to $542 million.
  • Total revenue for FY '25 expected to be within $630 million to $645 million.
  • Gross profit margin anticipated to be between 68% and 70%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA forecasted to be between $215 million and $225 million, a margin of 34% to 35%.
  • Adjusted operating cash flow expected to grow compared to FY '24, with a goal to achieve a net leverage below 4 times by end of FY '25.

Bearish Highlights

  • Delays in Q1 deal closures resulted in lighter subscription bookings than planned.
  • Client investments in Q1 impacted professional services (PS) revenue and gross margin.

Bullish Highlights

  • Closed nearly half of the delayed Q1 deals in Q2, with confidence in full-year targets.
  • Strong position in winning large opportunities in multi-tier supplier collaboration network.
  • Resilient demand for solutions expected to drive growth in bookings and ARR.

Misses

  • Seasonality affected Q1 billings, with Q1 being the weakest and Q4 the strongest billing quarter.

Q&A Highlights

  • Company has won a substantial portion of deals pushed from Q4 and Q1 without any losses.
  • Despite the acquisition of One Network by competitor Blue Yonder, E2open remains focused on its core clients and unique solutions.
  • Anticipates a stepdown in churn over the next three quarters, leading to normalized levels by Q4.

In summary, E2open's first quarter of fiscal year 2025 showed resilience as the company managed to exceed its ARR retention targets and make progress in reducing churn.

While deal closures were delayed, impacting subscription bookings, the company has since made progress in closing these deals and remains optimistic about achieving its full-year financial targets. E2open's commitment to client satisfaction and strategic initiatives positions it for sustainable growth in the competitive supply chain software market.

InvestingPro Insights

E2open Parent Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ETWO), a key player in the cloud-based supply chain software arena, has a current market capitalization of approximately $1.5 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the industry. While the company has not been profitable over the last twelve months, analysts are optimistic about its potential to turn a profit this year. This outlook aligns with the company's own confidence in improving churn and accelerating bookings.

InvestingPro data further underscores the company's financial landscape. With a negative P/E ratio of -1.26 and an adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q4 2024 sitting at -9.07, it's clear that investors are looking beyond current earnings to future growth potential. The company's revenue for the same period was $634.55 million, although it experienced a slight decline in revenue growth of -2.71%. Despite this, E2open boasts a robust gross profit margin of 66.17%, which is indicative of the company's ability to maintain profitability at the core operational level.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that E2open does not currently pay dividends, which may be a consideration for income-focused investors. However, for those interested in growth prospects, the company's anticipated profitability and strong gross profit margins could be a more relevant focus.

For readers interested in a deeper dive into the financial health and future prospects of E2open, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available. By visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/ETWO, you can access a comprehensive analysis, and using the coupon code PRONEWS24, you can get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. There are 35 more InvestingPro Tips available that could provide valuable insights into making informed investment decisions regarding E2open.

Full transcript - CC Neuberger Principal Holdings I (ETWO) Q1 2025:

Operator: Greetings. Welcome to the E2open Fiscal First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Dusty Buell. You may begin.

Dusty Buell: Good afternoon, everyone. At this time, I would like to welcome you all to the E2open fiscal first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. I am Dusty Buell, Head of Investor Relations here at E2open. Today's call will include recorded comments from our Chief Executive Officer, Andrew Appel; our Chief Commercial Officer, Greg Randolph; and our Chief Financial Officer, Marje Armstrong. Following those comments, we'll open the call for a live Q&A session. A replay and transcript of this call will be available on the company's Investor Relations website at investors.e2open.com. Information to access this replay is listed in today's press release, which is also available on our Investor Relations website. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that during today's call, we will be making forward-looking statements regarding future events and financial performance, including guidance for our fiscal second quarter and full year 2025. These forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. E2open cautions that these statements are not guarantees of future performance. We encourage you to review our most recent reports, including our 10-K or any applicable amendments, for a complete discussion of these factors and other risks that may affect our future results or the market price of our stock. And finally, we are not obligating ourselves to revise our results or these forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events. Also, during today's call, we'll refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP measures and certain additional information are included in today's earnings press release, which can be viewed and downloaded from our Investor Relations website at investors.e2open.com. And with that, we'll begin by turning the call over to our CEO, Andrew Appel.

Andrew Appel: Thank you, Dusty, and thanks to everyone for joining today's call. I'll begin with my thoughts on our key accomplishments during the first quarter and what they mean for E2open moving forward. I will then ask Greg to update you on our commercial highlights. And finally, Marje will review our fiscal first quarter results and provide some commentary on our FY '25 Q2 and our full year outlook. Then, we will open up the call for questions. I'd like to reiterate the key factors that make me so optimistic about E2open's potential for strong sustainable growth. First, for companies to achieve predictable outcomes in today's volatile global environment, they need visibility into all aspects of their supply chains and the ability to orchestrate a complex web of external supply-related activities and relationships. E2open's comprehensive software management platform combining networks, data and applications is purpose built for today's most complex supply chain challenges. Our network-centric AI-enabled suite of applications provides a unified set of digital tools for managing and optimizing the end-to-end supply chain from production to delivery. Our highly-differentiated products with years of proven functionality make E2open unique in our industry, and this positions us very well to capture a very attractive and fast-growing market opportunity. And second, we enjoy the distinction of having as our clients many of the world's largest and best-known companies, and our software is deeply embedded across these clients' value chains and provides them with enduring measurable value. Our close partnership with these clients not only validates the mission critical functionality of our platform, it also provides a large readily accessible source of white space growth opportunities. If we consistently delight our clients and ensure they receive full value from our relationship and products, then we will enjoy a strong tailwind of cross-sell growth as clients digitize more and more of their supply chain activities. During Q1 FY '25, E2open continued to execute our plan to reposition the company for sustainable organic growth by emphasizing client centricity, selling differentiated solutions, delivering those solutions in ways that exceed client expectations and ensuring clients subsequently receive the distinctive value they expect when they purchase the products. I'm pleased to share that we've made notable progress against these objectives that are critical for the company's future growth. And while our Q1 revenue results do not yet reflect this material change in focus, during the quarter, we saw solid evidence that a well-managed proactive approach to delighting clients will bring E2open back to solid growth in short order. As I have noted previously, one of my top priorities as CEO has been to improve E2open's client satisfaction and delivery in order to restore our retention metrics to the high levels that the company enjoyed prior to 2024. I have previously described the successful work we've done around diagnosing the root causes of churn as well as the disciplined internal management cadence we've put in place around renewals and retention. We have implemented repeatable processes to manage every material renewal on an account-by-account basis. We have introduced new tools such as a risk prediction algorithm to monitor the application's performance and client usage among other things, which provides us real-time insights into the key indicators of client satisfaction and retention risk. And supporting this management process is a fundamentally new corporate-wide mindset. We are now approaching every renewal as an opportunity to strengthen and expand our important client relationships by finding new ways to work together and new sources of deliverable value for the clients. I am pleased to report that in Q1, we executed this client-centric account-by-account approach very consistently and effectively. Overall, we came in ahead of our internal ARR retention targets for the quarter by a meaningful margin and experienced no significant downside surprises. This strong performance included securing several renewals with a number of strategic accounts and laying the foundation for significant year-over-year improvement with our long tail of small clients. Moreover, looking forward, we have clear line of sight into achieving a material sequential improvement in Q2 churn followed by even larger reductions in the second half of the year and into next year. I am confident in this forward-looking view because we have reviewed every renewal over a specific ARR threshold scheduled through the first half of FY '26 and individually assessed and scored the renewal risk of each client. For any piece of business assessed to be at risk at all, we are actively engaged with the client on mutually beneficial ways to retain them. This highly disciplined evaluation process is now part of E2open standard operating cadence, as we will regularly review a rolling forward schedule of 24 months of renewals to ensure client satisfaction and early renewals. And while we still have work to do to fully execute on our FY '25 churn reduction targets, we have turned the corner on our retention challenges. And I am proud of the efforts of so many E2open colleagues that made this possible. Based on these positive Q1 developments, I am confident that the first quarter represented our peak quarterly level of churn and that by the beginning of next fiscal year, we'll have returned to a baseline run rate that is much more in line with E2open's normal historical levels. Given the negative impact that this issue has had on our financial performance over the last six quarters, putting it behind us is a major milestone and will provide tailwind for revenue growth as we move forward. Moreover, now that we have a disciplined approach to retention management in place and our metrics are moving in the right direction, I look forward to allocating more of my time to growth-related activities such as strategic client development, pipeline expansion and bookings. I also want to provide a few comments on some other aspects of our Q1 performance, which Greg and Marje will discuss in more detail. Our subscription revenue results for the quarter were relatively solid, but delays in the timing of deal closures prevented us from delivering upside. Although we entered the quarter with a significant pipeline of late-stage deals scheduled for Q1 close, some large deals ended up slipping out of the quarter due to delays in client-specific decision and approval processes. We have already made significant progress in June in closing those delayed deals. So, from a year-to-date bookings perspective, we are quickly getting caught up with our internal plan and remain on track for our full year targets. While our quarterly results can sometimes vary due to deal timing, the client-centric changes we have made at E2open are gaining traction and yielding positive results. Having already largely made up for the timing shortfalls we experienced in Q1, we are well positioned to accelerate bookings as we move through the year and finish FY '25 at a material higher growth rate, and as importantly, with a much more strongly committed base of clients. In our professional services business, after entering Q1 with a healthy backlog, we chose to accelerate some unbilled professional services work into the quarter. Although this required us to redirect some resources away from working through existing backlog, which delayed some PS revenue into the future, we expect PS revenues to normalize in subsequent quarters as we rebalance PS activity toward billable work. Moreover, and importantly, these Q1 client investments were the right trade off to make. Under our new leadership, our PS organization is now focused on delivering improvements in client satisfaction and value realization that are ultimately key to turning our clients into strong net promoters of E2open and generating sustainable growth. And we know that clients with high satisfaction are the best prospects for us to sell a new high-value solutions. The best reference for a client is the client itself. With our best-in-class portfolio of solutions and high interoperability, I am confident the investments we make now to ensure clients get value from their existing solutions will pay out in dividends as they look for future evolutions of their supply chain software. Before I turn the call over to Greg, I would like to make two additional comments. First, I want to express my sincere thanks to all of my E2open colleagues for their many contributions to putting our company back on a growth path and also to our management team for all their work and support on the strategic review while also running our great business and building a strong future for the company. And second, I want to comment on the strategic review that E2open announced in March. The review is progressing, and while we will not be taking questions on the review today, we are fully engaged in the process and anticipate its completion in the near future. We look forward to sharing the outcome of the review with our customers, employees and shareholders as soon as appropriate. With that, I will now ask Greg to provide an update on our go-to-market activities.

Greg Randolph: Thank you, Andrew. Since I joined E2open 11 months ago, our commercial organization has been working hard to lay the foundation for generating strong sustainable growth. We have made tangible progress on multiple fronts. We've brought experienced leaders into the company to lead our most critical commercial functions. We are managing all aspects of our growth strategy from front-end pipeline development to software implementations with a disciplined operational cadence. After moving E2open's marketing function into the commercial organization and scrubbing our sales pipeline of deals not aligned with our core value proposition, our marketing and sales teams are now fully integrated and we are quickly rebuilding our pipeline of high-quality opportunities. And most importantly, we have realigned our organizational culture to one that values above all else, delighting our clients and building long-term mutually beneficial relationships. In sum, we are building our growth capabilities for the long term, not just for the immediate quarter. While we still have work to do, I'm very encouraged by the momentum we have generated in the commercial organization. We now have the basic tools we need to be a high-performing sales organization and take full advantage of the attractive growth market that E2open occupies. As we did during the second half of FY '24, so far in FY '25 we are demonstrating our strength in the marketplace and the distinct value that our solutions can provide for clients by winning important new logo and cross-sell opportunities with blue chip customers. Clients continue to place their trust in us to solve their most complex supply chain challenges. We are competing successfully across our broad portfolio, including recent seven-figure ARR wins in the increasingly strategic areas of global trade management and transportation management. With regulatory complexity, sanctions risk and transportation costs continuing to rise, we are seeing robust demand for software applications that automate customs documentation, reduce compliance risks and provide flexibility to respond to shipping disruptions in real time. We are also having success in the areas of planning and supplier collaboration, where we have launched innovative new functionality and products such as our supply network discovery solution to respond to growing customer needs for supplier mapping and traceability. I fully expect these demand trends to be resilient over the long-term and to provide a tailwind for our plan to grow bookings and ARR across our broad product portfolio in FY '25 and beyond. Specifically in Q1, while demand for E2open solutions was healthy, a material number of large deals pushed out of the quarter as clients extended their decision timeframes. As a result, despite a strong pipeline heading into the quarter, our Q1 subscription bookings came in lighter than planned and we received less of an in-quarter revenue benefit from new deals than we expected. I'm pleased to say that just over a month into Q2, we have already closed nearly half of these delayed deals. We had a very productive June and we are well positioned to meet our full year targets. On the professional services side of our business, our new leader Mark Nordick has immersed himself in the fundamentals of that group and is keenly focused on better integrating its operations and culture with the needs of our clients. Mark understands that flawless implementations, client satisfaction and cross-sell success are self-reinforcing benefits and are key to unlocking a flywheel of organic growth for E2open. During Mark's first two months on the job, we identified high impact, positive ROI opportunities to use our professional services resources to invest in key client relationships and improve client value realization. Rather than address these opportunities more ratably across FY '25, we decided to accelerate these client investments into Q1 to capture the clear growth upside from doing so. The client investments that we made in Q1 have already delivered tangible benefits, including securing early renewals of large important relationships, taking key retention risks off the table and improving our positioning with key clients for near-term cross-sell opportunities. As just one example of these growth-oriented investments, we secured the renewal of a highly-strategic technology client, a multi-year $30 million total contract value subscription relationship by co-investing in an upgrade of the client's legacy platform during Q1. While investing in our clients is clearly the right decision from a future growth perspective, accelerating these investments into the first quarter required us to reallocate PS resources away from billable work and delay the execution of our existing PS backlog, both of which impacted PS revenue and gross margin in the quarter. As we move through the year, the client investment that we executed in Q1 should position us well to gain subscription and PS bookings momentum in the second half. And importantly, while we will do whatever it takes to delight our clients and turn them into positive net promoters of E2open, we are confident that the volume of client investment work will decline materially across FY '25 and that the impact of PS revenue and margin that we experienced in Q1 will normalize. In conclusion, E2open's commercial organization is now in full execution mode with a clear mandate to provide value to our clients and put the company back on a sustainable growth path as quickly as possible. In Q1, we encountered some temporary bookings delays, but we are quickly closing the gap in Q2 and remain in good shape to meet our full year plan. And while we have a detailed commercial roadmap for the year, we are taking a flexible approach, and during Q1, we took the opportunity to accelerate high ROI investments and client satisfaction to support future growth. As of today, we are on track to accelerate bookings and drive continued churn improvements as we move through FY '25, which together should position us for a stronger FY '26. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Marje for a discussion of our financial results and guidance.

Marje Armstrong: Thank you, Greg. Today, I will review our fiscal first quarter results and comment on our Q2 and full year guidance. Subscription revenue in the fiscal first quarter 2025 was $131.4 million, a decline of 2.6% year-over-year, but at the midpoint of our $130 million to $133 million guidance. Although we closed many important deals during Q1, as Greg mentioned, revenue upside was limited by some large deal delays where customers took longer to make decisions about new business. We have already closed several of the slipped deals in Q2. In addition, during the first quarter, we proactively managed renewals and were able to complete the quarter ahead of our internal targets for retention. As we continue to execute our growth plan, we still expect our bookings momentum to accelerate and our retention metrics to improve further as we move through the fiscal year with the fastest improvement in both in the second half. Professional services and other revenue in the fiscal first quarter was $19.8 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 21.6%. As Andrew and Greg mentioned, our weaker PS revenues were driven by the reallocation of resources to client investments during the quarter, which prioritized non-billable/over-billable work. By doing so, we invested in delighting our customers, ensuring high-quality implementation and supporting renewals by bringing forward the investments needed to ensure projects are on time, on budget, and exceed client expectations. We will continue to focus on client satisfaction and invest in our clients as needed, but we anticipate that the mix of billable and non-billable work will normalize going forward and that our PS revenue for FY '25 will be roughly flat to prior year. Our PS business has a healthy backlog of work to support revenue generation through the remainder of the fiscal year. And as we continue to close deals that were delayed from Q1, our services business should pick up additional attached backlog. Total revenue for the fiscal first quarter was $151.2 million, a decline of 5.6% over the prior-year quarter. Turning to gross profit. In the fiscal first quarter of 2025, our non-GAAP gross profit was $102.6 million, reflecting a 7.1% decrease year-over-year. Non-GAAP gross margin was 67.8% in the first quarter compared to 69.0% in the prior-year quarter. The slight decline in gross margin was mainly due to the acceleration of professional services unbilled hours into Q1, which impacted PS gross margin and flowed through to a smaller extent on the consolidated margin line. Turning to EBITDA. Our first quarter adjusted EBITDA was $50.7 million, a 33.6% margin compared to $53.8 million and a similar 33.6% margin in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted EBITDA during the quarter was down year-over-year due to lower revenues as well as the client investments mentioned earlier, partially offset by spend efficiencies. During Q1, despite temporarily softer revenues, our adjusted EBITDA margins remained strong and consistent with prior year. This consistent EBITDA margin performance reflects our continued disciplined cost management approach and keen focus on driving back-office efficiencies to reinvest in our clients, our go-to-market motion and our products. Our non-GAAP G&A expenses in Q1 were down 11% year-over-year due to efficiencies across our HR, finance and facilities departments, mainly driven by lower headcount spend as we have consolidated teams and optimized management layers across corporate support functions. We also continued to streamline our global real estate and facilities footprint. We expect to find additional ways to reduce G&A costs going forward, driving automation and efficiencies across our finance, accounting, legal and HR processes. Our non-GAAP sales and marketing spend in Q1 was flat year-over-year. However, having consolidated our marketing organization into our commercial team, we are significantly reducing marketing overhead and reinvesting those dollars in our go-to-market organization, an area where we have brought in several new leaders and built sales capacity. And finally, we're continuing to invest in product development as evidenced by recent announcements of product launches and functionality additions. Our non-GAAP R&D spend is down year-over-year as a result of process changes and successful offshoring strategy that has allowed us to find additional savings, while holding R&D headcount nearly flat and allowing continued investments in our best-in-class products. Now, turning to cash flow. We generated $39.1 million of adjusted operating cash flow in Q1, which is higher both sequentially and year-over-year. This positive result reflects our continued strong focus on cash generation as a key performance metric and our focused efforts to optimize several cash levers, including our accounts receivable collections processes. Looking ahead, I would note that Q2 is typically our lowest cash generation quarter of the year due to various seasonal factors, including payment of our annual cash bonus during June. We still continue to expect strong cash flow performance for the full year. We ended Q1 with $160.2 million of cash and cash equivalents, an increase of $40.7 million year-over-year and $25.7 million sequentially. Continued strong cash performance is further evidence of the strength of our underlying business model and is an important indicator of our financial strength and flexibility. This completes my remarks on our fiscal Q1 financial results. At this point, I'd like to turn to our second fiscal quarter and full year guidance discussion. For the second fiscal quarter of FY '25, we expect subscription revenue in the range of $129 million to $132 million, representing a decline of 4.3% to 2.0% as compared to the prior-year fiscal second quarter. Our Q2 subscription revenue guidance incorporates the impact of Q1 slipped deals that closed or are expected to close after the beginning of Q2. As discussed earlier, our full year bookings outlook has not changed as we expect to close these deals within the fiscal year, but the timing delays are having a modest impact on our revenue outlook for the first half. Regarding FY '25 guidance, we are reaffirming our full year guidance provided on April 29, 2024. We still expect FY '25 subscription revenue in the range of $532 million to $542 million. In terms of key performance drivers, we still expect bookings momentum to build as we move through the FY '25, with the revenue impact becoming stronger in the second half of the year. We still expect FY '25 total revenue to be within the range of $630 million to $645 million. We still expect FY '25 gross profit margin to be within the range of 68% to 70%. We also still expect FY '25 adjusted EBITDA to be within the range of $215 million to $225 million, which represents an adjusted EBITDA margin of 34% to 35% for FY '25. These strong profitability metrics are consistent with what we have achieved in FY '24 and reflect our commitment to maintain profitability as we reaccelerate growth. We're also reaffirming the commentary we gave on last quarter's earnings call around FY '25 cash flow. We still expect adjusted operating cash flow to grow in FY '25 as compared to FY '24, and the following cash flow drivers remain the same as we discussed last quarter. We expect CapEx to be approximately 5% of revenue in FY '25, consistent with prior year. We plan to drive working capital improvements and expect FY '25 working capital to be a modest use of cash. Cash interest expense net of interest income and the impact of our interest rate callers is expected to be in the range of $90 million to $95 million, based on the same assumptions that we described last quarter. We expect non-recurring cash costs in FY '25 to decline significantly as compared to prior year. Finally, based on our guidance for FY '25 adjusted EBITDA as well as our outlook for cash generation during fiscal year, we expect year-end FY '25 net leverage to be below 4 times. In conclusion, during the fiscal first quarter, we made continued progress in our work to put E2open back on a sustainable growth path. Most notably, as Andrew mentioned, we believe that in Q1 we successfully turned the corner on the retention issues that have hurt our recent revenue growth. While revenue upside was limited in Q1 due to the delayed timing of several large subscription deals as well as the acceleration of non-billable PS investments in client relationships, we're still on track to meet our full year guidance targets and well positioned to accelerate bookings and revenue growth as we move through FY '25. As we do so, we expect to maintain strong adjusted EBITDA margins and cash flow, again demonstrating the attractive fundamentals of our underlying business model. That concludes our prepared remarks. I want to thank everyone for joining us today, and we look forward to continuing our dialogue as we move through the fiscal year. Operator, please open the line and begin the Q&A session.

Operator: Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Adam Hotchkiss with Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS). Please proceed.

Adam Hotchkiss: Great. Thanks so much for taking the question. I'm curious just to start, if you can give more specifics on what gives you the confidence on churn improvement throughout the year? Is this just a result of you going out and getting soft commitments well ahead of renewals or just scrubbing and engaging with your pipeline more aggressively than you've done in the past? Just any specific on what gives you confidence on the sort of improvement and acceleration there relative to what you printed in the first quarter would be useful.

Andrew Appel: Yeah. Hey, Adam, this is Andrew. How are you?

Adam Hotchkiss: Doing well. Thanks, Andrew.

Andrew Appel: So, what gives us confidence is we have reviewed every account over a pretty low threshold, both with the client teams and client managers as well as, in many cases, the clients. And these are well over, whatever, 400-plus accounts that have been assessed individually in a series of workshops where we have commitments. And so that's our new process for managing our renewals is to do them one at a time effectively, account-by-account renewals and where there is an issue. And in conjunction with that, we have usage statistics, we have other measures of operational effectiveness, and so we have leading indicators all over the place. And we used the evaluation of all the churn from '22 and '23, where we looked at 182 contracts that had churned to really understand what were the drivers of churn, and then that led us to a very proactive model with each and every account team. So, we know what's coming up for renewal and we know -- like basically, for example, the rule is if you are not 95% or more confident that something is going to renew at at or above the price, then it goes on the list, and we have deep discussions about where we are with all the analytics, and then we do customer contacts outside of the account teams if necessary.

Adam Hotchkiss: Okay. Thanks, Andrew. That was incredibly helpful. And then, I just wanted a quick follow-up on the resource reallocation away from professional services. Could you just maybe talk about the puts and takes and what those were around that decision? Does pushing out some of this PS backlog even more have an offsetting impact on satisfaction for customers who were waiting on that, or how did you think about sort of the puts and takes there?

Andrew Appel: Let me see if I got that right. In the end, what we -- as been discussed on a number of these calls, right, retention, churn, management, client satisfaction was -- is my number one priority, as I said in the script, a top priority. So, there were selected set of situations where making additional investments to those clients solve issues with that were causing dissatisfaction and putting the account at risk. And so, there were -- so we made the call to pull forward effectively what our industry is called unbilled, but effectively invest in those clients in a way that was obviously not going to affect the timing and implementation of any of our other clients. So, there was no negative impact on existing clients. There was a positive impact on clients that were not completely satisfied with their solution and led to, in some cases, some pretty material renewals and just the whole style change.

Adam Hotchkiss: Got it. I see. Okay, that's really helpful. Thanks so much, Andrew.

Operator: Okay. The next question comes from Chris Quintero with Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS). Please proceed.

Chris Quintero: Hey, everyone, thanks for taking our questions here. I wanted to ask about the deal closure delays. It's great to see almost half of those already closed in June, but just curious to hear your thoughts and expectations for the rest of the year. Do you think these delays will continue throughout the year? Or do you think it was more of a one-time impact given Q1 is always a seasonally weak quarter?

Greg Randolph: Yeah. Hey, Chris, it's Greg. Great to hear from you. Thanks for the question. And yeah, look, we don't focus on the macro related issues. But what we do focus on are what are the key contributors to accelerating deal cycle. One of those primary areas is really the engagement we have with our clients directly at the executive level and at the technology user level. And we've seen significant improvements. I'm super pleased with, over the last 3 quarters, just our overall engagement at every level of our customer base. And the second issue that we've really focused heavily on to drive deal velocity is ensuring that our customers see the quantifiable business value associated with what we're providing. And in the cases where we do that incredibly effectively, we're able to accelerate deal cycles and win effectively. And you saw as I mentioned in my opening remarks, we were able to convert many of those deals in June. And we don't expect this to be a massive issue going forward. And the team is continuing to focus on primarily serving customers well, ensuring they're satisfied and maniacally focusing on driving pipeline to create a broader set of opportunities for us to drive in the second half.

Chris Quintero: Got it. That's super helpful, Greg. And I want to follow-up on the pro services change. Can you go into a little bit more detail about maybe what some of those specific examples of that non-billable work that you did for customers? And maybe what are some of the positive results that resulted from that work?

Greg Randolph: Yeah. We have -- as you know, we have a significant professional services business with a broad set of situations and long-term projects, we've got projects that are well into a year or two in their implementations. And what we noticed is that making sure that we have delivered the solution and the timeframe and the capabilities that our customers are expecting obviously is critically important. And there are certain situations -- we have an example with a large client in Europe where we had implementation delays that we accelerated our resource allocation to ensure that we got the projects implemented on time and we essentially funded those resources in Q1. It resulted in an extension of their contract. They added additional products to the mix, and it was obviously a good outcome. As I mentioned in the opening remarks, we had a very large client where we provided the upgrade services for free in order to ensure that we've got a long-term runway with a very, very large client. And so, I think the point that I made in the opening remarks is that just we're making the client success the single most important priority for us. And we made significant investments that we planned throughout the year that we pulled forward in Q1 to ensure that we were addressing our retention issues.

Chris Quintero: Got it. Yeah, very clear. Thanks, Greg.

Operator: The next question comes from Taylor McGinnis with UBS. Please proceed.

Taylor McGinnis: Yeah, hi. Thanks so much for taking my questions. The first one is just in terms of the cause of the deal delays, I'd love to get a little bit more color there. So, do you think it was more macro related weighing on those decisions? Was there potentially any disruption from like the sales changes that you guys have made? And then, as a second part to that question, as we think about these deal delays and how that might parlay into the trajectory of subscription billings growth throughout the year compared to the 1Q decline of 6%? Any additional color you can give there? Thanks.

Andrew Appel: Yeah. I'll take the one on deal delays. I don't think there's a systemic root cause to deal delays. I think clients have their cycles for making decisions. The more strategic the conversations we make, the more you do lengthen cycles, because you all of a sudden involve multiple business units or you involve multiple executives who have questions. And so, as we become more value oriented in our sales process, as we become more multiproduct in our sales process, you inevitably run into -- our slightly odd quarter calendar also doesn't mix with the general world. So, there isn't the urgency in a February and a May that might be in a quarter close that they have, right, to get a deal done. But there's nothing systemic from like sales coverage, sales behavior, sales change. The other statistic that I just think has been a positive is we have either -- so we have of the X number of deals that have been pushed from Q4 and Q1, we have won a substantial portion and we have not lost a single one, which to me says that once we get them to the point that we're having deep conversations or they're in the late stage, we are winning them. It's just a matter of when not if.

Marje Armstrong: Yeah. And just to add, Taylor, on your question in terms of billings, so when you look at billings, there is seasonality in our billings. So, the decline in Q1 versus second half of FY '24 is mainly because of that seasonality. Q4 is typically our strongest billings quarter and Q1 is the weakest, consistent with our prior historical trend. Obviously, year-over-year decline in billings is due to the factors we've discussed with our revenues also down year over year. But as you think about the rest of the year, as we expect bookings and churn trajectory to improve in second half, that along with the seasonality should help sequential billings growth in the second half as you know.

Taylor McGinnis: Perfect. And then, my last question is, so you talked about the deals that were pushed from 1Q into 2Q, and it sounds like you are expecting churn and bookings to start to improve in 2Q. But when I look at the subscription revenue guide, it still implies a quarter-over-quarter decline. So, can you just help us square those comments? Is it that maybe the guide just reflects additional conservatism? Is there a risk that some deals get delayed further? I guess what are the assumptions driving that guide?

Marje Armstrong: Yeah, absolutely. So, the Q2 guidance, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks as well, is impacted by the Q1 sort of deal delays, right, and the impact of sort of the peak churn we saw in Q1. So, you have sort of a lag impact from that. And then, as we expect to kind of build and sort of catch up on the bookings, improve churn, the second half should really see the acceleration and build from there, right? So, revenue is always a sort of a lagging indicator of the bookings and churn impact.

Taylor McGinnis: Thank you so much.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Mark Schappel with Loop Capital. Please proceed.

Mark Schappel: Hi, thank you for taking my question. Greg, in response to an earlier question around the slipped deals, you noted that you don't expect the deal delays to be an issue going forward. Just wondering if you could just provide additional color around what gives you this confidence. Was it because of slipped deals or just more of an internal execution issue rather than a macro concern? Maybe just provide additional color around that.

Greg Randolph: Yeah. Look, as you know, Mark, we've made pretty significant changes in the overall organization and the structure, and we focused on just in quarter execution on deals as well as a focus on broadening our pipeline, both in terms of our large deals and our midsized deals. And so, we're making significant progress. We integrated the marketing organization into the commercial organization. The first 90 days on board, we dramatically scrubbed cleaned out the pipeline. And so, what we've added back is high-quality opportunities, really focused in the areas, the industries and the solutions that we're incredibly effective and have higher win rate on. So, we're focusing on the opportunities and the types of customers that we win more often. And just as I said before, the engagement of our team, both in terms of engaging with clients on renewals and making sure they're highly satisfied on their projects and engaged in a broader set of relationships within our existing accounts to drive a broader cross-sell penetration. We're seeing tremendous momentum there. And so again, what you saw -- what I mentioned about our June closing kind of validates the confidence I have that these deals that maybe if they do take a little bit longer, we are able to win the deals. And as we broaden and extend our breadth of pipeline, we're going to continue to have more to work on.

Mark Schappel: Great. That's helpful. Thank you. And then, Andrew, you've been with the company about almost nine months now, with EBITDA margins kind of hovering in the low- to mid-30% range, do you believe the firm needs to go through another investment cycle just to bring sales execution up closer to market growth rates?

Andrew Appel: No. I think about it differently. I think about a reorientation of the culture of the company where the client is at the center of what we do versus us at the center of what we do. And so, it's not a dollar investment, it's a culture investment. And I've had conversations with 50 or 100 clients and they're always kind of like, "Well, what is your approach?" And my approach is, as I always say, like, number one is to delight the clients and have them be really happy and excited about the things they do with us. Number 2, that we deliver flawless implementations as a tagline for like on time, on budget, ahead of schedule, that they are getting the value, measurable value and the solution. And the response I get from clients, there's the Head of Supply Chain for a large global logistics company, who just says that's just a delight to hear, right, because you don't hear that kind of style. Instead of feeling the pressure of the sales process, what they're hearing is that we're here to help them drive their business performance. And that's not an investment. That's a lot of just basically teaching client people -- sales people how to be client people. It's nothing to do with the product. It has to do with the approach and how we dialogue with clients. And so, I don't think it was a dollar investment. I think of it as an apprenticeship investment. And there is [indiscernible]. And then things happen. Like $1 million opportunity with that client that we weren't even in. And then that person sent me an e-mail and said, I've talked to the team, and then you guys are in that process based on what better job we were doing on the existing initiatives.

Mark Schappel: Great. Thank you.

Operator: Okay. The next question comes from Andrew Obin with Bank of America (NYSE:BAC). Please proceed, Andrew.

David Ridley-Lane: Hi, this is David Ridley-Lane on for Andrew. Quick question, a competitor of yours, Blue Yonder, is acquiring One Network, competing sort of supply chain network. I believe it's the second largest behind you. How do you think that might change the competitive landscape for the company going forward?

Greg Randolph: Yeah. Hey, thanks, David. Look, I think first and foremost, it's validation that the marketplace demand for a multi-tier supplier collaboration via the network is incredibly robust, and there's a massive market opportunity that exists. And it's where we created a very strong position and have won some very large significant opportunities. And so, I think, to me, it's an opportunity to validate the incredible growth potential that exists in this space. And certainly, there will be a formidable competitor, there's no doubt about that. But we are focused on our core clients, how do we do an incredible job of cross-selling our broad capabilities. If you think about the breadth of our offering, the solutions we take to market are very unique in the marketplace. We have multiple different avenues we can engage with a client. And as we see opportunities in the market like the supplier collaboration solution, we are incredibly competitive.

Andrew Appel: Yeah. The only thing I would add is I think their legacy is really a different industry segment that's far less complicated than ours. So, I think we -- where we are both differentiated is where the company's supply chain is the most complicated. And so, where they're differentiated, I think, from what I understand, is much less complicated supply chain. Their network is materially smaller, but more importantly, ours is like eight, nine, 10 tiers deep. So -- and as companies continue to increase the amount of their production that isn't actually made by themselves, it plays to our strength of our multi-tier client solution. So, it will be difficult for them to establish in the sectors that were strong.

David Ridley-Lane: Good. And then just wanted to clarify. So, first quarter here is the peak level of churn that you expect returning to normalized levels by the beginning of fiscal year '26. I guess, I may have had it wrong, but I thought there was more of a pronounced stepdown in churn in the second half. Are you sort of saying it's more ratable as we go through the next three or four quarters, or is there still kind of a stepdown -- kind of a non-linear stepdown in the second half on churn? Thank you.

Andrew Appel: It's hard to be that specific. What I will say is that based on account-by-account review, you should see pretty material stepdown in each of the next three quarters. There's a little bit more on the early side than in the later, but that's just what the facts show, right? You can't predict everything, right? Companies buy each other, and that causes unpredictable things. But based on the assessment of the 400-plus situations that drive the big ones, it should be a pretty linear stepdown and material.

Marje Armstrong: Yeah. I would say -- just to add to that, obviously, we don't report churn and don't guide to it, but as we said, Q1, we expect to see peak churn, we expect to see improvements. And by Q4 getting back to normalized -- sort of normalized levels, that's a big contributor to our expectation of also subscription revenue growth accelerating in the second half obviously is the churn reduction as well as bookings build, but the churn coming down and the confidence of seeing better results than expected in Q1 is really what's underlying our confidence where we sit now for the balance of the year.

David Ridley-Lane: Thank you very much.

Operator: Okay. We have no further questions in queue. We have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.