Global markets rally on Federal Reserve policy shift speculation

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Global markets rally on Federal Reserve policy shift speculation
Credit: © Reuters.

Global stock markets are on the rise amid speculation that the Federal Reserve may soon pause its interest rate hikes. The MSCI All Country World Index, a broad measure of equity performance globally, has recorded a significant 8.7% increase for November. This surge is supported by a 0.4% rise in S&P 500 futures today.

Investors are reacting to recent signals from Federal Reserve officials, suggesting that a shift toward lower inflation targets could be on the horizon. Prominent investor Bill Ackman has echoed this sentiment, speculating that interest rate reductions could start sooner than the markets currently anticipate. This optimism has also spilled over into the bond market, where German bonds have seen an increase in value, and U.S two-year Treasury yields have dropped to 4.69%. Analysts project rate cuts of over one percentage point by late next year.

In corporate news, General Motors Co (NYSE: GM ) has announced a strategy for dividend growth and a stock repurchase program totaling $10 billion. Meanwhile, Foot Locker (NYSE: FL ) Inc's shares have enjoyed an uplift following sales figures that exceeded market expectations.

The market's positive momentum is also reflected in the European Stoxx index's modest rise and the upward trends in Nasdaq and Dow futures , signaling potential opening gains in U.S markets. Oil prices have edged higher as OPEC+ convenes to discuss supply adjustments, and gold has reached its highest price point since May, fueled by the market's optimism over potential shifts in Federal Reserve policy.

Investors are also looking ahead to a series of economic releases and public addresses by Federal Reserve representatives set for this week. Today, economic outlooks and Eurozone confidence data will be unveiled, while the Bank of England Governor addresses the current financial climate. Federal Reserve Chair Powell is scheduled for a public discussion in Atlanta on Friday, with Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee also expected to speak later that day.

This week's financial agenda is packed with key economic indicators, including Thursday's expected China PMI readings and Eurozone economic updates, as well as an important OPEC+ session that will determine oil supply strategies. Additionally, Friday will see the release of U.S personal finance metrics along with manufacturing indices, providing further insight into the economic health of the United States.

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