FOREX-Dollar loses bond yield support, euro looks to ECB for inspiration

  • Reuters
  • Forex News
FOREX-Dollar loses bond yield support, euro looks to ECB for inspiration
Credit: © Reuters.

* Graphic: World FX rates https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

* Stall in Treasury yield gains hurts dollar

* Euro awaits ECB for any hints on policy stance

* Bank of Canada puts tapering back in spotlight

By Stanley White

TOKYO, April 22 (Reuters) - The dollar was pinned near multi-week lows against most major currencies on Thursday as fading gains in U.S. Treasury yields reduced the greenback's interest rate advantage.

The euro was in focus ahead of a European Central Bank (ECB)meeting later on Thursday, where any positive comments about the economic outlook or hints of tapering bond purchases are expected to send the common currency racing higher.

Sentiment toward the dollar has weakened as last month's spike in Treasury yields reverses course, but some analysts say the outlook over the longer term remains positive due to a strong U.S. economy and an improved coronavirus vaccination programme.

"We've confirmed that demand for Treasuries is healthy, which means there is no upward pressure on yields," said Junichi Ishikawa, senior foreign exchange strategist at IG Securities in Tokyo.

"In this environment, the dollar will test the downside against the yen. The euro is different because there are signs that people inside the ECB are more optimistic about the economy, which raises questions about tapering."

The dollar stood at 107.99 yen JPY=D3 , close to a seven-week low.

The euro EUR=D3 was quoted at $1.2043, not far from its strongest since March 3.

The British pound GBP=D3 bought $1.3939.

The onshore yuan CNY=CFXS rose to 6.4828 per dollar to reach its strongest level since March 12.

On Wednesday a closely watched auction of U.S. 20-year Treasuries drew strong demand, which helped the fixed income market regain its composure and put a cap on yields.

Last month, Treasury yields spiked to their highest in more than a year due to worries about accelerating inflation, which prompted dollar bulls to pile into the currency.

However, this trade has started to unwind this month as yields reversed course, and investors will now look to the U.S. Federal Reserve's meeting next week for new trading cues.

The ECB is not expected to change policy when it meets later on Thursday, but analysts say this meeting will set the stage for June, when policymakers have to decide whether to slow bond buying. central banker Klaas Knot has already said tapering is possible, and the euro could resume its rise against the dollar on any signs that a reduction in bond purchases is gaining more support within the ECB, analysts said.

Monetary policy has drawn renewed attention after the Bank of Canada signalled that it could start hiking interest rates in late 2022 after it cut the pace of bond purchases, making it the first Group of Seven central bank to move towards withdrawing extraordinary stimulus. Canadian dollar CAD= , which surged to a six-week high on Wednesday, was last quoted at 1.2500 against its U.S. counterpart.

The Australian AUD=D3 and New Zealand dollars NZD=D3 traded near one-month highs against the greenback, supported by speculation that their central banks are more likely to follow Canada's example due to an improving economic outlook.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0207 GMT Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct

YTD

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous Change Pct

Session

Change

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.2043 $1.2036

+0.07% -1.43% +1.2045

+1.2033 Dollar/Yen

JPY=EBS

107.9950 108.1300

-0.13% +4.55% +108.1350 +107.9600 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=EBS 130.05

130.03

+0.02% +2.47% +130.1200 +129.9800 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9160

0.9172

-0.10% +3.56% +0.9170

+0.9162 Sterling/Dollar GBP=D3

1.3939

1.3927

+0.08% +2.02% +1.3941

+1.3928 Dollar/Canadian CAD=D3

1.2500

1.2495

+0.05% -1.83% +1.2507

+1.2490 Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.7754

0.7753

+0.01% +0.80% +0.7764

+0.7749 NZ

NZD=D3

0.7208

0.7209

-0.01% +0.38% +0.7213

+0.7198 Dollar/Dollar

All spots FX= Tokyo spots AFX= Europe spots EFX= Volatilities FXVOL= Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ TKYFX

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ World FX rates

https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E

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