FOREX-Dollar gains as bets on big fiscal spending unwound

  • Reuters
  • Forex News
FOREX-Dollar gains as bets on big fiscal spending unwound
Credit: © Reuters.

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E (Adds quote, updates prices)

By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK, Nov 4 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar gained against a basket of currencies on Wednesday after Democrats looked unlikely to take control of the U.S. Senate as a result of Tuesday's U.S. presidential election, leading investors to unwind bets that a large fiscal package is likely.

President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden on Wednesday each faced narrow paths to potential victory in a close-fought presidential election that will be determined by a razor-thin margin. so-called “blue wave” of votes for Democrats did not emerge as many had expected, making it likely that Republicans will maintain control of the U.S. Senate, and oppose any massive increase in stimulus spending.

“What's tough is you can't even say for sure what the results are going to be, but a split Congress is likely,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York.

“You're probably going to see that the dollar decline will still take place, it just won't be as accelerated as with what would have happened with a blue wave,” Moya said.

The dollar index =USD rose 0.31% to 93.42, after reaching a one-month high of 94.31 in overnight trading.

The euro EUR= gained 0.08% to $1.1720, after earlier dropping to $1.1602, its lowest since July 24.

The greenback was unchanged against the Japanese yen at 104.46 yen.

Despite uncertainty over the U.S. election result, risk appetite remained solid with stocks rising, which likely limited the strength of Wednesday's dollar rally.

"We have not so far seen big risk-off moves so I would think that probably that's the template for how things will evolve here," said Jonathan Davies, head of currency strategy at UBS.

"So even if we're getting more indications that it's going to be drawn out, the experience so far is not suggesting that we're going to see huge FX volatility and huge dollar strength," he added.

Overnight volatility gauges for euro-dollar and dollar-yen fell, after hitting their highest levels since March earlier this week EURONO= , JPYONO= .

The prospect of legal challenges over the election result may still dampen risk taking in the coming days or weeks, which would likely lift the greenback.

"The contested election outcome and this going to the courts, that is what I think everyone does not want," said Moya. "If you don't have that certainty then you're going to eventually see that risk aversion will persist like we saw in 2000.”

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 12:05PM (1705 GMT) Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Previous

Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

EUR=

$1.1720

$1.1711

+0.08%

+4.55%

+1.1768

+1.1605 Dollar/Yen

JPY=

104.4600

104.4600

+0.00%

-4.04%

+105.3400 +104.1600 Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

122.45

122.46

-0.01%

+0.41%

+123.0700 +121.9800 Dollar/Swiss

CHF=

0.9111

0.9117

-0.07%

-5.86%

+0.9198

+0.9093 Sterling/Dollar GBP=

1.3001

1.3058

-0.44%

-1.95%

+1.3139

+1.2916 Dollar/Canadian CAD=

1.3119

1.3130

-0.08%

+1.02%

+1.3299

+1.3095 Australian/Doll AUD=

0.7183

0.7160

+0.32%

+2.29%

+0.7221

+0.7050 ar

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

1.0684

1.0687

-0.03%

-1.55%

+1.0714

+1.0662 Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.9011

0.8970

+0.46%

+6.59%

+0.9032

+0.8947 NZ

NZD=

0.6691

0.6698

-0.10%

-0.67%

+0.6742

+0.6617 Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway

NOK=

9.3025

9.3625

-0.64%

+5.91%

+9.5928

+9.2903 Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

10.9035

10.9950

-0.83%

+10.83%

+11.1420

+10.8946 Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

8.7850

8.8210

-0.49%

-6.02%

+8.9466

+8.7707 Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

10.2968

10.3472

-0.49%

-1.65%

+10.3885

+10.2879

Drop an image here or Supported formats: *.jpg, *.png, *.gif up to 5mb

Error: File type not supported

Drop an image here or

100

Related Articles