El Nino's Fury: Australia's Driest October in Over 20 Years Sparks Agricultural Crisis

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El Nino's Fury: Australia's Driest October in Over 20 Years Sparks Agricultural Crisis
Credit: © Reuters.

Australia faced its most arid October in over 20 years due to the El Nino weather pattern, causing a 35% drop in the wheat harvest and triggering severe drought conditions across the nation. Western Australia, a major grain-exporting region, saw its driest October on record, while regions in Queensland and the Northern Territory experienced severe rainfall deficiencies. The long-term forecast predicts continued below-average rainfall in key areas until at least January.


Driest October in Over 20 Years: Australia experienced its driest October since 2002 due to the El Nino weather pattern. The national weather bureau reported a 65% below-average rainfall compared to the 1961–1990 average. Except for Victoria, all parts of Australia had below-average rainfall, with Western Australia experiencing its driest October on record.

Impact on Crop Yields: The hot, dry conditions resulting from the El Nino weather pattern have significantly affected crop yields in Australia, particularly in regions such as Western Australia, which is a major grain-exporting area. The wheat harvest is expected to drop by approximately 35% this year, totaling around 26 million tons.

Effects on Different Regions: Rainfall deficiencies have expanded and intensified in various regions. Areas such as southwest Western Australia, southeastern Queensland, parts of the Top End in the Northern Territory, and far north Queensland have experienced severe rainfall deficiencies. However, there has been some relief in southern Victoria and eastern Tasmania.

Long-Term Weather Forecast: The Bureau of Meteorology's long-range forecast indicates below-median rainfall expected to persist at least until January in northern, western, and southern parts of Australia. This forecast suggests continued dry weather for these regions, exacerbating the already existing drought conditions.


Australia's agricultural sector and its economy are grappling with the repercussions of this extensive drought, particularly the significant reduction in wheat production. As the dry spell persists, concerns for food security and water resources are rising. The El Nino-induced drought serves as a stark reminder of the ongoing challenges posed by climate variability and the need for sustainable solutions to mitigate its impact on a nation heavily reliant on agriculture.

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