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Royal Gold share target up, keeps Outperform rating on strong Q2 sales

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 09-07-2024, 10:40 pm
RGLD
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On Tuesday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on shares of Royal Gold (NASDAQ:RGLD), increasing the price target to $170 from the previous $168 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. This revision comes in the wake of the company's reported sales for the second quarter of 2024, which surpassed analyst expectations in several key areas.

Royal Gold's performance in the second quarter showcased robust gold and copper stream sales, with gold stream sales reaching 39.2 thousand ounces (koz). This figure not only exceeded BMO Capital's estimate of 38.1 koz but also surpassed the Visible Alpha consensus prediction of 35.6 koz.

Still, silver stream sales fell short of expectations, recording 593.2 koz against the forecasted 661.5 koz by BMO Capital and the consensus estimate of 664.8 koz.

The company's total gold equivalent sales for the quarter amounted to 52.6 thousand gold equivalent ounces (kGEO), outperforming both BMO Capital's estimate of 50.1 kGEO and the consensus of 49.4 kGEO. The latter figure was based on Royal Gold's actual realized prices, while BMO Capital's estimates were derived using its own commodity price assumptions.

In a statement, the analyst from BMO Capital cited the better-than-anticipated stream sales for the quarter as the primary reason for the upgraded price target. The analyst also noted that the new target reflects updates to the firm's Royal Gold model, which includes the latest production reports from other companies and recent adjustments to their estimates.

Royal Gold, with its strong second quarter performance, continues to attract positive attention from analysts, as reflected by BMO Capital's latest price target revision and sustained Outperform rating.

In other recent news, Royal Gold Inc. reported a strong first quarter in 2024, with revenue reaching $149 million, operating cash flow at $138 million, and earnings of $47 million, or $0.72 per share. Adjusted earnings were reported at $0.91 per share.

The company's focus on precious metals resulted in 75% of its revenue coming from gold and 88% from precious metals overall. In addition, Royal Gold has made significant progress in reducing its debt and increasing liquidity, with total liquidity nearing $1 billion by the quarter's end.

Royal Gold also extended the life of the Mount Milligan mine to 2035 through an agreement with Centerra and completed the acquisition of Khoemacau with total proceeds of $37 million. A quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share was paid, continuing a 23-year tradition of increased dividends. These are among the recent developments within the company.

Looking ahead, Royal Gold projects positive results in the coming years, supported by a pipeline of opportunities in the transaction environment. Smaller operations like Manh Choh, Cote, Mara Rosa, and Bellevue are expected to contribute to future performance.

Still, a decrease in net income was attributed to lower revenue and a one-time discrete tax expense of $13 million related to the Mount Milligan Cost Support Agreement.

InvestingPro Insights

Following the positive outlook from BMO Capital Markets, Royal Gold (NASDAQ:RGLD) continues to demonstrate financial robustness as reflected in recent InvestingPro data. With a market capitalization of $8.61 billion and a high gross profit margin of 84.89% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, the company's ability to generate profits from its sales remains impressive.

Moreover, Royal Gold boasts a strong history of dividend reliability, having raised its dividend for 8 consecutive years and maintained payments for 25 years, showcasing its commitment to shareholder returns.

The company's stock is also noted for its low price volatility, which may appeal to investors looking for stable investment opportunities. Moreover, with liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations, Royal Gold operates with a moderate level of debt, suggesting a sound financial structure. While the P/E ratio stands at 38.57, indicating a high earnings multiple, this could reflect the market's confidence in the company's future profitability, as analysts predict that Royal Gold will continue to be profitable this year.

For investors seeking a deeper dive into Royal Gold's financial health and future prospects, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available. These tips include insights on the company's cash flow, debt management, and stock performance metrics. Interested readers can explore these valuable tips by visiting InvestingPro. To enhance your investment analysis, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription. There are 10 more tips waiting to help you make more informed decisions on the InvestingPro platform.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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