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Cummins stock seen as fully valued despite favorable truck fundamentals and EPS growth

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09-10-2024, 06:48 pm
CMI
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On Wednesday, Baird adjusted its price target on shares of Cummins (NYSE:CMI), a global power leader in diesel and alternative fuel engines, to $330.00 from the previous $315.00, while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock. The firm's decision follows Cummins' strong second-quarter 2024 performance, which exceeded expectations, leading the company to increase its guidance for the year.

Cummins' stock has seen an upward trajectory following its second-quarter results, which outperformed across all metrics. This positive outcome has prompted the company's management to revise its 2024 forecasts upwards. Baird highlighted several key factors that are anticipated to persist into the third quarter of 2024, including mitigating factors against a potential heavy-duty market downturn and continued growth in Power Systems sales and margins.

Additionally, the firm noted the robustness in the Class 8 vocational segment, which has also been a positive signal for Allison Transmission (ALSN). Based on these trends, Baird's updated earnings per share (EPS) estimate is now 2% higher than the current consensus on FactSet. The firm's revised full-year projections are also at the upper end of Cummins' sales and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance, which could suggest a possibility for further guidance enhancement. However, Baird remains cautious, pointing out that there have already been two guidance increases by Cummins earlier this year.

In conclusion, while Baird's outlook on the truck fundamentals is optimistic, viewing the situation as a "glass half-full," they also consider the current stock valuation to reflect these positive aspects. Therefore, the firm advises that the stock is appropriately priced at the moment.

In other recent news, Cummins Inc (NYSE:CMI). reported strong Q2 results for 2024. The company's sales reached $8.8 billion, a 2% increase from the previous year, while EBITDA rose to $1.35 billion, representing 15.3% of sales. Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating on Cummins, strengthening its conviction in the company's positive prospects through 2025 after visiting the company's facilities.

Cummins has also formed strategic partnerships with Isuzu Motors and Daimler (OTC:MBGAF) Trucks and buses, and received a $75 million grant from the Department of Energy. The company returned value to shareholders, increasing its quarterly dividend by 8.3% and repurchasing $230 million in shares.

Despite an anticipated softening North American heavy-duty truck market in the latter half of the year, Cummins remains optimistic due to strong demand in the power generation market and consistent performance in the Chinese truck market. Analysts noted that Cummins raised its full-year 2024 revenue outlook to down 3% to flat and EBITDA to 15% to 15.5%.

InvestingPro Insights

Cummins' strong performance and positive outlook are further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $45.17 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the machinery industry. Cummins has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with a 6.15% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, reaching $34.17 billion. This aligns with Baird's observations of the company's strong second-quarter performance.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Cummins' financial strength and market position. The company has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years and has raised its dividend for 18 consecutive years, showcasing its commitment to shareholder returns. This is particularly noteworthy given the company's recent strong performance and increased guidance.

Additionally, 13 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, which corroborates Baird's optimistic view on Cummins' near-term prospects. The company's profitability over the last twelve months and analysts' predictions of continued profitability this year further support the positive outlook.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 9 additional tips that could provide deeper insights into Cummins' financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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