Oppenheimer maintains CWAN Outperform with $40 target

EditorLina Guerrero
Published 14-01-2025, 01:46 am

On Monday, Oppenheimer analysts maintained a positive stance on Clearwater Analytics Holdings (NYSE:CWAN) shares, reiterating an Outperform rating with a $40.00 price target. The company, currently valued at $6.68 billion, has demonstrated strong momentum with a 42.86% price return over the past six months.

According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock trades at premium valuation multiples, reflecting market optimism about its growth prospects. The endorsement comes as Clearwater announced its intention to acquire Enfusion, an investment management software vendor, for approximately $1.4 billion in enterprise value, consisting of a balanced mix of 50% cash and 50% stock.

The acquisition is part of Clearwater's strategic move to delve deeper into the asset management market, with ambitions to expand its international reach and develop comprehensive end-to-end investment management solutions. The company's strong financial position, evidenced by a healthy current ratio of 4.66 and moderate debt levels, positions it well for this strategic expansion.

InvestingPro subscribers can access detailed financial health metrics and 12 additional ProTips that provide deeper insights into Clearwater's growth strategy. Analysts at Oppenheimer believe that Enfusion's offerings will be a complementary addition to Clearwater's existing product portfolio, enhancing the company's growth prospects and market reach.

Enfusion is seen as a key component in Clearwater's strategy, not only as a means to generate future growth but also as a way to expand the company's Total (EPA:TTEF) Addressable Market (TAM). Moreover, the acquisition is viewed as a defensive play, bolstering Clearwater's position in the lower end of the market—a segment where it has previously shown weakness.

The deal is also expected to pave the way for Clearwater to achieve a high-margin, $1 billion-plus recurring revenue business within the next two and a half years.

The company has already demonstrated strong growth momentum, with revenue increasing by 20.61% in the last twelve months and maintaining an impressive gross profit margin of 72.25%. For a comprehensive analysis of Clearwater's growth prospects and valuation, investors can access the detailed Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro, which covers over 1,400 US stocks with expert insights and actionable intelligence.

Despite these positives, there are concerns among some investors regarding the sustainability of Clearwater's organic growth rate, which has been over 20%, in light of the company's strategy to grow through acquisitions.

Clearwater Analytics Holdings has also expressed confidence in exceeding its fourth-quarter 2024 guidance, a sentiment that reinforces the company's optimistic outlook following the announcement of the acquisition. The transaction is poised to position Clearwater as a more formidable player in the asset management software sector.

In other recent news, Clearwater Analytics reported a 22% year-over-year increase in revenue and a 34% growth in adjusted EBITDA in their third-quarter results. Subsequently, the company's management revised their 2024 forecasts upwards, increasing the midpoints for revenue and adjusted EBITDA by approximately 1% and 2%, respectively. Despite these positive results, DA Davidson downgraded Clearwater Analytics from Buy to Neutral, but raised the price target to $35.00. Concurrently, RBC Capital Markets maintained an Outperform rating on Clearwater Analytics and increased the company's price target from $32.00 to $36.00.

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