Aluminium witnessed a decline of -0.38%, settling at 208.4, with the focus primarily on assessing China's demand outlook. Beijing plans to inject CNY 1 trillion in additional debt to stimulate manufacturing and infrastructure construction. However, PMI data indicating a contraction in China's manufacturing sector raised concerns regarding the effectiveness of these investments on output. Chinese officials announced a goal to open the economy and boost imports of commodities and services significantly over the next five months.
On the flip side, the dollar weakened after the US monthly payrolls report, suggesting expectations of an upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate hike in December. Closely monitoring industrial metals imports in China in the upcoming months along with consumer prices will provide insights into the impact of China's economic stimulus. Meanwhile, the US trade deficit widened in September but remained one of the lowest since 2021. Additionally, Germany's Construction PMI hit a low, suggesting a deteriorating trend in the construction sector.
From a technical standpoint, long liquidation was evident, marked by a 2.77% decrease in open interest to settle at 2,771. Aluminium is supported at 207.5, possibly testing 206.6 if breached, with resistance anticipated at 209.1 and a potential move towards 209.8.
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