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Marc Chandler

  • Analysis & Comment

Marc Chandler's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Marc Chandler's articles, including current analysis & comment.

EM Week Ahead: 2 Disruptive Events Still In Play
By Marc Chandler - Jun 13, 2016
Emerging Markets ended last week under pressure. With two potentially disruptive events (FOMC meeting and Brexit vote) still in play, we think that EM softness should carry over into this week....
EM ended last week on a firm note. Given the absence of any Fed-specific risks or any major US data releases, that firmness could carry over into this week. The failure to reach an agreement in Doha...
Corrective Forces Dominate; Dollar Bull Continues
By Marc Chandler - Dec 06, 2015
The market's disappointment with the ECB unleashed pent-up corrective forces in the foreign exchange market. This leg up in the dollar began in mid-October. Through the day before the ECB, the euro...
The US dollar and yields surged as the divergence meme, which had been increasingly doubted, returned with a vengeance. The 271k rise in nonfarm payrolls was the most this year. The 2.5%...
The US dollar fell against most of the major and emerging market currencies for the second consecutive week. The combination of market positioning, weak confidence that the Fed will hike rates this...
Dollar Bulls Bend, But Will They Break?
By Marc Chandler - Oct 04, 2015
The unexpectedly poor September US jobs data weakened the greenback's technical tone, as questions about the underlying strength of the world's largest economy, and the implications for the Fed's...
USD May Consolidate Before Pushing Higher
By Marc Chandler - Sep 27, 2015
The US dollar rose against all the major and emerging market currencies over the past week, save the Russian ruble, which gained about 1.5%. Comments from several Fed officials, and most notably...
Emerging Markets: What Has Changed
By Marc Chandler - Sep 06, 2015
1) Reports suggest the PBOC will impose a 20% reserve requirement on financial institutions trading FX forwards 2) The HKMA had to intervene this past week at the strong side (7.75) of the HKD peg 3)...
Has China Been Selling T-Bills?
By Marc Chandler - Aug 27, 20151
The US 10-year Treasury yield has risen 30 bp since Monday's low-water mark. There are a number of reports that try to link the backing up in US yields to purported sales by China. The Chinese sales,...
What Next For China?
By Marc Chandler - Aug 25, 2015
China appears to be flailing. Its stock market stabilization efforts have failed miserably. It looks as if it has botched another attempt to let market forces have greater sway over the yuan's...