Lance Roberts

As I wrote this blog, the S&P 500 index is up roughly 17% year-to-date. Most likely, your portfolio isn’t. This is a common frustration among many investors in the market this year in...

Democrats should start worrying about the level of debt and the increasing deficit. I previously discussed this issue when President Obama held the White House, when Marshall Auerback, via the Nation,...

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is arguably one of the most important and overlooked economic indicators. Each month, economists, the media, and investors pour over various mainstream...

Is the bond bear market finally over? That is the question everyone is asking now that bond prices rallied sharply following the November FOMC policy meeting. As noted earlier: “On Wednesday,...

How does a recession happen? “Slowly and then all at once.” Economists are increasingly confident the economy will avoid a recession. Such is due to strong job and retail sales data. Even...

While often difficult, investing rules can help us maintain our focus and investment discipline in volatile or uncertain markets. This year, such has certainly been the case with surging interest...

Economists no longer expect a recession. Such was according to a recent WSJ survey of Wall Street economists. To wit: “In the latest quarterly survey by The Wall Street Journal, business and...

The S&P 500 pain trade continues to be higher into year-end. We made such a point in January, suggesting the 2022 correction was complete. Let’s review what I wrote, and then we...

Restrictive monetary conditions, from higher yields and tighter lending conditions, are the Fed’s “Waterloo.”If you don’t remember, the “Battle of Waterloo” was...

Bloomberg recently penned a great piece on the “Law of Unintended Consequences.” To wit: “There is only one true law of history, and that is the law of unintended consequences. In...