Breaking News

U.S. Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations

Latest Release

Jul 18, 2025

Actual

4.4%

Forecast

5.0%

University of Michigan (UoM) Inflation Expectations measures the percentage that consumers expect the price of goods and services to change during the next 12 months. There are two versions of this data released two weeks apart,Preliminary and Revised. The preliminary release is the earliest so tends to have more impact.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: University of Michigan

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Aug 01, 2025 (Jul)	19:30			4.4%
Jul 18, 2025 (Jul)	19:30	4.4%	5.0%	5.0%
Jun 27, 2025 (Jun)	19:30	5.0%	5.1%	6.6%
Jun 13, 2025 (Jun)	19:30	5.1%	6.4%	6.6%
May 30, 2025 (May)	19:30	6.6%	7.3%	6.5%
May 16, 2025 (May)	19:30	7.3%		6.5%

News

U.S. consumer sentiment hit five-month high in July - University of Michigan index By Investing.com - 12 hours ago

Investing.com - U.S. consumer sentiment touched its highest point in five months in July, but remains well below its historical average, as concerns swirl around the impact of sweeping U.S....

U.S. consumer sentiment plunges in April as tariffs fuel growth, inflation fears By Investing.com - Apr 11, 2025

Investing.com - U.S. consumer sentiment plunged by 11% in April compared to the previous month, while year-ahead inflation expectations hit their highest mark since the early 1980s, fueled by growing...

Top 5 things to watch in markets in the week ahead By Investing.com - Apr 21, 2024

Investing.com -- Earnings from the big tech names and another round of inflation data are due in the coming week, as a rally in U.S. stocks appears to be running out of steam partially due to worries...

Analysis

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Retail sales and jobless claims were better than expected yesterday, offering more support for a hawkish rethink of Federal Reserve rate cuts. We expect the residual 14bp priced in for September to...

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The Silver/Gold ratio trades, my name for a wider commodity rally, are on the cusp of another leg up You could call them “inflation trades”, but the post-2021 phase and its heavy inflationary effects...

US Dollar Eyes More Upside With Rising Global Risks By Francesco Pesole - Jun 13, 2025

The Israeli strike on Iran's nuclear facilities has sent oil prices spiking and has offered the oversold and undervalued US dollar a catalyst for a rebound. The energy price shock is generally...

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