Will Nifty 50 Rally Next Week After a 500-Point Drag?

  • Stock Market Analysis

This week witnessed a sharp cut in the Indian share market. The benchmark Nifty 50 index ended this truncated week 518 points or 2.57% down to 19,674.25. Except for the Nifty PSU Bank index, no sector was able to hold its ground. The last time we had seen such a big fall on a weekly basis was in February 2023, of 2.67%.

However, the big question is, will the market recover in the next week or bears will continue to pounce harder?

Image Description: Daily chart of Nifty 50

Image Source: Investing.com

Looking at the daily chart of the index, the next support is present at around 19,584. This is the same level that signaled an uptrend when Nifty started rising in the first week of September 2023. On the way up and down, there haven’t been any halts taken by the index, therefore the major support remains the same which was the resistance earlier.

This means, there’s still some downside potential of 90 points which isn’t much of a big deal. Traders who are already short on the index can now tighten their stop losses to protect the majority of the gains.

Despite a 2.57% cut in the index this week amidst a one-way fall, it should not be deemed that it has become oversold. The index has only lost around 50% of the gains of the preceding rally and is in no way near a bottom.

However, as the support of 19,584 is close, investors can expect a bounce back from around this level. As we still have a 90-point downside potential, those looking to capitalize on a counter-trend trade should make sure their stop loss level is below the current support.

Disclosure: I have multiple positions in Nifty 50.

In case you want to connect with me, reach out on X (formerly, Twitter). My handle is - aayushxkhanna

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  • Basu Yeruva @Basu Yeruva
    By sep29 nifty 20200 may be
    Like 4
  • Prashanth Bodasingh @Prashanth Bodasingh
    Holding 20000 qty of nifty 19300 put this week. Ltp 10.5 bought at 10rs lets see how parallel channel and 0.6 Feb retracement works 🫡 see u all
    Like 7
    • Sajeeve Abraham @Sajeeve Abraham
      this is gambling man
      Like 2
    • Aparajita Das @Aparajita Das
      if you are put buyer close it neck to neck Nifty will turn upwards from 19525 and not go below 19500
      Like 1
    • Kunal Sharma @Kunal Sharma
      @Prashanth Bodasingh wow....you are awesome.
      Like 1
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  • Santosh Mhatre @Santosh Mhatre
    nifty nov mid 18200
    Like 3
  • Prashant Shetye @Prashant Shetye
    ya correct for u r analysis , if nifty holds the level of 19600 then we can see nifty heading to a new highes of 20.5k
    Like 1
  • Ramesh Nougai @Ramesh Nougai
    I am accumulating 21000CE 30 Nov
    Like 0
  • Vishal Gupta @Vishal Gupta
    Good gapup on monday opening
    Like 3
  • Rohan Deo @Rohan Deo
    May nifty goes till 18850
    Like 5
    • Keshav Khushalani @Keshav Khushalani
      agreed. but not in one go. slowly
      Like 1
    • Manish Khanna @Manish Khanna
      impossible
      Like 0
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