This week will be an interesting one, as the market will be pulled in both directions by various news-related items. I say this as the global financial markets had a sizeable selloff on Friday, which will place bearish pressure on the Indian market. Moreover, the spread of coronavirus seems to be speeding up as there has been a sizeable spike in cases seen in South Korea and Italy.
However, on the bullish front, President Trump’s arrival on Monday will create some positivity in the financial market. This is as both President Trump and Prime Minister Modi are leaders who place a huge emphasis on optics. Therefore, due to this, I expect many bold statements to be made by both leaders which will cause sudden spurts in the market even though the statements may not materialize in the long term. Hence, it will be interesting to see how the market reacts to all the upcoming drama. Consequently, I will not go long or short in the indexes until they show a clear direction and will only trade in stocks. Coming to today’s article, I will look at three stocks that are at a crossroads and can provide some decent swing trades.
Container Corporation:
Container Corporation of India Ltd (NS:CCRI) is at a crossroads as the stock is presently flirting with its 200-day moving average and its support zone around Rs 534. Moreover, the 20 and 50-day moving averages have converged at one point, which can provide traders with a fast move on either side.
Hence, for me to go short on the stock, I will wait for two signals. The first one being the 20-day moving average dipping below the 50-day moving average, while the second one is the stock breaking below the support zone at Rs 533.10 and Rs 534.45. Thus, if both these signals occur, then traders can short the stock until the support zone at Rs 503.35. On the other hand, if the support zones were to hold, then I will only go long once the equity clears the Rs 566 mark with good enough bullish strength. Hence, I do not advise traders to enter a short or long in the equity until it gets out of the current clutter it is in. This is as an entry into this kind of box range is what causes most retail traders to lose money. Lastly, if I were to short the stock then I would prefer to use options rather than futures as each lot size is sizeable.
Maruti Suzuki:
In the past week, Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. (NS:MRTI) has provided traders with a good shorting opportunity as the equity has had a clean and crisp downswing. However, I exited my short position on Thursday as the equity had reached a support zone that places it at a crossroads. This is like the stock’s current support zone is made up of various technicals hence a reversal here will be strong enough to cause some damage to traders going short. However, a breakdown at this level will also cause a sharp downswing. Hence, I would prefer to wait and see which way the stock goes in the coming session so as to make a trade that has a higher probability of success.
Coming to my criteria for going long or short on the equity. I will only go short once the stock breaks the support zone between Rs 6,580 and Rs 6,692 as that will open a range of shorting until Rs 6,312 and Rs 5,972. On the other hand, if the support holds, then traders can go long until the resistance zone between Rs 7,184 and Rs 7,265. I am not highlighting the upper resistance zone shown in the chart as I believe the resistance zone mentioned above is robust hence I will look to set a target until that point first.
Britannia Industries:
Britannia Industries Ltd (NS:BRIT) is an interesting stock to watch as the equity from the end of September 2019 has been trading within the range of the candle it formed on 25th September which had a low of Rs 2,951 and a high of Rs 3,584. This movement has resulted in many short-term traders earning a quick buck several times from the sharp swings it has made within the range. However, this has been a nightmare for the longs trapped on the upper end of the 25th September candle.
Nevertheless, as of now, I expect the equity to test its support zone in the coming days. Thus, this can give us a shorting opportunity with a return of around 5%. However, I will not enter the short position until the moving average crossover doesn’t take place, and the stock doesn’t take out the support level at Rs 3,030 on an intraday timeframe. This is as this trade’s risk level is higher than usual as we are playing in a range that has traditionally been support. On the target front, I expect the equity to reach the support range between its 200-day moving average and the support line at Rs 2,888.
On the whole, the Indian market is presently at a crossroad, and that is mainly due to the fear of a global coronavirus outbreak plus the weakness seen in global markets. However, I am not placing a great emphasis on the local economic slowdown, as we can see the market has been shrugging that off for the past few weeks. Hence, owing to the short term weakness I will stick to very short term trades as has been highlighted in the past via the personal trades I shared in the past three articles. Lastly, you can follow my Twitter handle to keep track of daily updates on various stocks in the Indian market for which I provide important levels you can utilise as price targets.