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Mentha Oil May Trade Between 1431.1-1526.9 Levels

Published 10-04-2019, 12:11 pm
BASFN
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Technically Mentha Oil market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by 2.06% to settled at 618 while prices down 23.8 rupees.

Now MCX Mentha Oil is getting support at 1449.1 and below same could see a test of 1431.1 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 1497, a move above could see prices testing 1526.9.

Mentha Oil on MCX settled down by 1.6% at 1467 due to low demand at major physical centers. Prices also seen pressure earlier amid expectations of higher acreage under mint in 2019 due to lucrative prices throughout last year.

Export demand of oil in global market is likely to be improved due to recovery in currency which is supportive for prices. The surge in output is likely due to buoyancy in planting intentions, not only in the traditional pockets of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar in recent days, but also in Madhya Pradesh.

Mentha sowing may witness a huge jump this year because of high returns farmers experienced the whole of last year. Production of mentha oil is expected to rise to 48,000-50,000 tn in 2019 from 33,000-35,000 tn last year.

This year, sowing of the crop started towards the end of last month, a couple of weeks later than usual due to extended cold weather in all major growing regions. Official data on mentha, with respect to sowing or production and export, is not available as trade in the commodity is tightly controlled by a few.

This season, the area under mint is expected to be 250,000-265,000 ha. Speculation that German major BASF SE (DE:BASFN) has re-started deliveries of synthetic mentha oil will also be a deterrent to prices. Mentha oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1599.30 per 1kg. Spot prices was down by Rs.10.30/-.

Trading Ideas:
--Mentha Oil trading range for the day is 1431.1-1526.9.
--Mentha Oil spot at Sambhal closed at 1599.30 per 1kg. Spot prices was down by Rs.10.30/-.
--Mentha Oil ended with losses due to low demand at major physical centers.
--Prices also seen pressure earlier amid expectations of higher acreage under mint in 2019 due to lucrative prices throughout last year.
--The surge in output is likely due to buoyancy in planting intentions, not only in the traditional pockets of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar in recent days, but also in Madhya Pradesh.

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