How Investors Avoided Costly a Mistake? Exited Before a 40% Crash

Published 20-03-2025, 11:19 am

Investing is as much about protecting capital as it is about growing it. While many investors focus on identifying undervalued stocks to buy, avoiding overvalued stocks—or even capitalizing on their declines—can be just as profitable. This is where the concept of fair value becomes a game-changer.

For those unfamiliar, fair value is the true intrinsic worth of a stock, calculated using advanced financial models. Unlike price targets that fluctuate with market sentiment, fair value provides an objective, data-driven assessment of whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. The best part? With automated tools, investors no longer need to manually crunch numbers or perform complex financial modeling—everything is done in real-time with high precision.

Now, imagine the power of knowing this ahead of time.

A Costly Lesson for Many Investors

Consider Oracle Financial Services Software (NSE:ORCL) Limited (OFSS)—a textbook example of how fair value can help investors make informed decisions. On September 15, 2024, OFSS was trading at INR 12,261 per share. Those who had access to fair value insights at the time would have realized that the stock was massively overvalued, with a fair value of just INR 7,247. This indicated a steep downside potential of 40.8%.

Image Source: Investing.com

Fast forward to March 11, 2025, and the stock had plummeted to its fair value, leaving many investors suffering heavy losses. Those who relied on fair value insights, however, could have exited well in advance, preserving their capital. More importantly, savvy traders could have gone short in the derivatives market and made a significant profit.

The Power of Knowing Fair Value

This case highlights why understanding fair value isn’t just a luxury—it’s a necessity. While past performance can never guarantee future outcomes, the ability to assess valuation discrepancies can make all the difference in an unpredictable market.

For those looking to incorporate fair value into their investment strategy, platforms like InvestingPro offer an easy-to-use, highly accurate fair value feature that removes the guesswork from stock analysis. It automatically evaluates stocks using multiple financial models, ensuring that investors get the most realistic valuation possible.

With the markets constantly shifting, making informed decisions is more crucial than ever. And right now, InvestingPro is offering discounts of up to 45%, making it the perfect time to equip yourself with the right tools. Because in investing, knowledge isn’t just power—it’s profit.

Read More: A 32% Return in 4 Months! That’s How Investors are Making Money

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