DATA-DRIVEN ANALYSIS OF NIFTY & BANK NIFTYW/E 10-2-23
- Nifty EOW 17856 (+2) & Bank Nifty 41559 (+60).
- Nifty has given an ROI of 0.01% (1.42%) in W/E 10-2-23 & Bank Nifty has given an ROI of 0.14% (2.86%).
- Bank Nifty’s low for the week was at 41095 & Nifty weekly low was at 17652.
- On a weekly basis, there is an upward shift to the lower base.
- India Vix fell sharply to 12.75.
- FIIs ended up as the net sellers for 3502 (-13940) Crores and the DIIs were the net buyers for 2288 (14185) Crores.
- The indices have been creating higher lows which is a good sign.
- 18200 for Nifty & 42200-400 for Bank Nifty are key levels to clear.
- SGX Nifty EOD at 10-2 is +6.50.
Here is the link to the video:
https://youtu.be/Q7q4truuZfQ
Session Insights 10-2-23
- India Vix fell further to 12.75. This is a good sign, but it has also taken away momentum in the heavyweights which are hurting the indices. As mentioned earlier, Vix is likely to take technical support here and bounce back up.
- “Lull before the storm” goes the saying, which seems to tie the case with the indices. Nifty keeps drifting and end negative to flat and Bank Nifty also moves in a narrow range and manages to end in the green.
- This has been the story for the last 2 sessions and something that is likely to happen in the next 2 sessions that may make the indices move.
- I was expecting Bank Nifty to crack today on account of the weakness that it was showing, however, purely by the data, it has shown relative strength compared to Nifty and it may end up driving the next leg up.
- Nifty has been kept in check mainly by Reliance (NS:RELI) and Infosys (NS:INFY) and to some extent by ICICI Bank (NS:ICBK). If these turn even neutral, there may be an upward bias getting developed in Nifty.
- It is refreshing to see that the FIIs have ended up as net buyers and the DIIs have turned net sellers. The fact that the FIIs have bought much more than the DIIs are selling, indicates that we may see a positive start to the new week.