NIFTY 17303/28-2-23
- The Open Price was -45 points compared to the 27-2 Open price which was a bearish start to the day.
- Nifty made a low at 17255 which was a downward shift in the lower base and a bearish sign.
- The Close Price was -79 points from the open price which is a bearish sign.
- The Close - High difference was -136 points which is also a bearish sign.
- Nifty made a lower high, a lower low, and a lower close.
- The price action is extremely bearish.
BANK NIFTY 40269/28-2-23
- The Open Price was +482 points compared to the 28-2 Open price which was a very bullish start to the day.
- Bank Nifty made a low at 40073 which is an upward shift to the lower base and a bullish sign.
- The Close Price was -33 points from the open price and which is a sign of indecisiveness.
- The Close - High difference was -122 points which is a bearish sign.
- Bank Nifty made a higher high, a higher low, and a lower close.
- The price action is bearish to some extent.
Insights
- India Vix jumped to 14.02 as the weakness in the heavyweights dragged Nifty below 17300 yet again to register a lower low.
- Bank Nifty appeared to be more resilient than Nifty but it was finding it hard to stay above 40300. Unless there is some decisive move in a couple of heavyweights, Bank Nifty may also get impacted by the prevailing weakness in Nifty.
- Once again HDFC Bank (NS:HDBK) rescued Bank Nifty from falling further. If it is able to hold on to 1600+ levels only then can Bank Nifty revive.
- On the other hand, Nifty was very weak as 2 of its pillars, Infosys (NS:INFY) and Reliance (NS:RELI) dragged it and kept the pressure on throughout the session.
- Strange as it may sound to be, however, the Adani twins from the Nifty 50 pack contributed 76 points to Nifty on the positive side. So if they had not remained positive, Nifty may have hit 17200 today itself!
- By the law of averages or the record session count approach, Nifty is more likely to end in the green during the week. The price action is very bearish so I am unsure whether it may happen before or after or without Nifty testing 17200 ow lower levels.
Here is the video link:
https://youtu.be/2nQmG-iGQjs
FII-DII data
FII -4559 Crores
DII +4610 Crores
Net +51 Crores
Support
17200-300 & 39200-400-600
Resistance
Every 50-100 points for Nifty starting with 17350 & every 100 points for Bank Nifty starting 40300.