Adani Group Fiasco: Nifty Bank Cracks Hard, Falls 2,300 Pts in 2 Days!

  • Stock Market Analysis

Investors in the banking space are having a tough time for the last two sessions. The Hindenburg’s research report on Adani Group alleging financial frauds has sent a shockwave to the Indian markets. The Group companies have taken a massive hit, some even hitting 20% lower circuit. 

However, investors are also concerned for the banks that have exposure to Adani Group, which led to a severe selling spree in the banking space. For instance, the Nifty Bank index plunged by around 2,367 points (as per today’s provisional closing) in a mere two sessions. The index heavyweights such as HDFC Bank (NS: HDBK ) and ICICI Bank (NS: ICBK ) (accounting for around 58.69% weightage) lost around 4.7% and 6.1%, respectively in two sessions.

Today, none of the 12 banking stocks of the index was able to close in the green, with the top loser being Bank of Baroda (NS: BOB ), falling 7.36%. The Nifty PSU Bank index was in the worst shape, losing a surprising 5.43% today, totaling a 9.5% loss for the week and delivering the lowest weekly closing since mid-November 2022.  

Image Description: Daily chart of Nifty Bank (spot)

Image Source: Investing.com

Coming to the technical setup of the Nifty Bank, the aggressiveness of bears is clearly seen. Two consecutive days of 1,000+ points crack is denoting some serious selling which is likely to continue for a while, at least till the next support level of around 39,250 - 39,200 is on the screen. This indicates, that the index is still left with some fuel to burn the bulls, and it can travel ~1,100 points more to the south. 

No doubt that the index seems oversold now which could lead to a bounce, but just like the benchmark Nifty 50 index, every rally from here is a selling opportunity and it should not be mistaken for a trend reversal. The current resistance of the index is around 43,000, which is roughly 2,600 points away from the CMP, all thanks to a one-way fall. This would make it difficult to spot ideal entry levels to go short as the range has expanded but a retracement till 41,500 - 41,600 might provide a good risk-to-reward ratio. 

Also, budget day is around the corner, along with the US Fed’s first monetary policy meeting for the year, both of which are on 1 February 2023 which would also contribute to already increased volatility. As volatility has expanded a lot, traders should keep their portion limit in check. 

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  • hRk feed @hRk feed
    nifty can be bounce back on budget day
    Like 1
  • Dixit Patel @Dixit Patel
    sir can bounce in budget?? 42500 to 43500 once rally i feel possible?? ..may i right sir ?
    Like 0
  • Chandresh Dedhia @Chandresh Dedhia
    Banks can move down and even faith on banks can take a down tick
    Like 0
  • OCTAL IT SERVICES @OCTAL IT SERVICES
    thanks
    Like 2
  • Nakul Joshi @Nakul Joshi
    thanks
    Like 1
  • gopal krishna @gopal krishna
    very helpful
    Like 1
  • Siraj khan Gouri @Siraj khan Gouri
    so helpful view
    Like 1
    • Aayush Khanna/Investing.com @Aayush Khanna/Investing.com
      Thanks Siraj.
      Like 0
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  • Vijay Dasappa @Vijay Dasappa
    thank you once again ayush sir
    Like 1
    • Aayush Khanna/Investing.com @Aayush Khanna/Investing.com
      You're welcome, Vijay :)
      Like 0
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  • Maddula Bhanu @Maddula Bhanu
    After falling ,you are doing Analysis ....it should be informed before fall , please 🙏🏻
    Like 4
  • namami ghosh @namami ghosh
    thanks once again
    Like 3
  • Paras Varma @Paras Varma
    why delivery percentage in Adani stocks so low?
    Like 0
  • Sankalp Vashishtha @Sankalp Vashishtha
    ur right
    Like 1
  • Sumit Motiramani @Sumit Motiramani
    Both Nifty and bank Nifty are in correction phase after major top
    Like 0
    • Banti Grover @Banti Grover
      bantigrover jind
      Like 0
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  • Sujoy Dutta @Sujoy Dutta
    Right
    Like 2
  • Vivek Purav @Vivek Purav
    Thanks
    Like 3

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